Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarino Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent performance in second serve points shows Mannarino leading with 45.34%, compared to Berrettini's 42.81%. Could this stat indicate Mannarino's edge in the upcoming match?
• Analyzing return games, Mannarino again comes out on top, winning 45.31% of opponent's second serves, surpassing Berrettini's 41.22%. Will this give him a significant advantage?
• Both players are nearly matched in first serve returns: Mannarino at 24.97% and Berrettini at 24.25%.
• Under pressure, Berrettini excels by saving 61.45% of breakpoints, while Mannarino saves 53.67%.
• Looking at overall performance, Berrettini holds a slight edge with a 54.05% match win rate over the last year as opposed to Mannarino's 49.33%.
• Both have their highest win rates on Grass, standing at 61% for each. Could the surface be a deciding factor?
• When considering the match level, Berrettini has a 50.00% win rate on the Main tour, a bit higher than Mannarino's 37.50%.
• Mannarino has a direct head-to-head advantage, having won their only previous encounter convincingly in straight sets.
• However, Berrettini has faced tougher competition on average, with opponents ranking 54.24 compared to Mannarino's 158.91.
• In deciding sets, Berrettini shows better performance with a 46% win rate, compared to Mannarino's 38% over the last year.

Editorial Prediction (October 1, 2025, UTC):

In evaluating the upcoming match between Adrian Mannarino and Matteo Berrettini, several key statistics stand out that could influence the outcome.

Mannarino's recent edge in second serve performance and return game statistics suggests he may have an advantage when it comes to capitalizing on crucial points. On the other hand, Berrettini's ability to save breakpoints and his higher win rate against stronger opponents could serve him well under pressure.

Despite Mannarino's previous head-to-head victory, Berrettini's broader experience against higher-ranked opponents and superior performance in deciding sets offers him a potential advantage.

Taking into account all these factors, the match is likely to be competitive, but Matteo Berrettini may have a slight edge to secure the win in this encounter.